The East Coast could experience a difficult period over the next few months, with forecasts of stronger than normal hurricane activity.
Between 14 and 20 storms strong enough to receive a National Hurricane Center (NHC) name are expected in 2022, of which no more than 10 are classified as hurricanes. Named storms have winds above 39 mph and hurricanes have winds above 74 mph.
So far, three storms have achieved named status: Hurricane Bonnie and Tropical Storms Alex and Colin. While the NHC defines Atlantic hurricane season as occurring between June 1 and November 30, major hurricane activity typically does not begin until August.
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Between 14 and 20 storms strong enough to be named by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are expected in 2022, of which up to 10 are classified as hurricanes – as shown above in the NOAA chart
So far this year, three storms have achieved named status: Hurricane Bonnie and Tropical Storms Alex and Colin. Hurricane Zeta is pictured above in the Gulf of Mexico in 2020
In August 2021, Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana with winds of up to 150 miles per hour, damaging thousands of homes and knocking out power to millions. Pictured above is NOAA’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season
“Although the start of the hurricane season has been relatively slow, with no major storms developing in the Atlantic, this is not unusual and therefore we cannot afford to let our guard down,” he said. she said in a statement. “This is especially important as we enter peak hurricane season – the next Ida or Sandy could still be on the prowl.”
Recent years have seen a significant increase in hurricanes over the Atlantic. Last year was the third busiest on record, with 21 storms strong enough to name, including seven hurricanes.
It was the first time there had been enough storms to cross the entire alphabet for two consecutive years (the annual list of names does not include any names beginning with the letters Q, U, X, Y or Z). This is a notable increase from the period from 1991 to 2020, when there were an average of 14 named storms per year.
In August 2021, Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana with winds of up to 150 miles per hour, damaging thousands of homes and knocking out power to millions. According to government statistics, Ida killed 96 people and caused $75 billion in damage, making it the costliest US natural disaster of the year.
“Communities and families must prepare now for the remainder of what is still expected to be an active hurricane season,” National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said in a statement. Last year there were 21 named storms (as seen above)
Shirley Andrus looks in her vehicle which was crushed by a fallen tree as Hurricane Laura passed through the area August 28, 2020 in Lake Charles, Louisiana
Officials have warned that anyone living near the coast should be prepared for the possibility of significant storms. Photo above: Massive flooding caused by Hurricane Eta and Hurricane Iota in Honduras
“Communities and families must prepare now for the remainder of what is still expected to be an active hurricane season,” National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said in a statement. statement.
“Make sure you’re prepared to act if a hurricane threatens your area by making an evacuation plan and gathering hurricane supplies now, before a storm hits your community.”
Although the NHC’s forecast does not predict possible landings, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s seasonal outlook manager, Matthew Rosencrans, told DailyMail.com that in above-normal years, the United States typically see a doubling in the number of hurricanes reaching the coast from Miami. in Maine.
FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell warned that those living along the coast should start preparing for what could happen.
Just 20 minutes of preparation in advance could make a huge difference when a major storm heads for the coast, Rosencrans noted.
“They need to make sure they have a quick and ready box of all their really important documents. They need to make sure their insurance plan is up to date and review their plan with family and loved ones,” he said.
This year, the United States could see the number of hurricanes that reach the coast of Miami, Maine double. This satellite image shows Tropical Storm Dorian above the Bahamas.
Just 20 minutes of advance preparation could make a huge difference when a major storm is heading to the coast, officials note. Pictured: A truck is seen stuck on a flooded road after Hurricane Laura hit Grand Lake south of Lake Charles, Louisiana
The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center estimated the chance of “above normal” storm activity at 60%, a slight improvement from May, when the same forecasters estimated the likelihood of a season above normal at 65%.
Although storm activity has been relatively calm so far, East Coast residents shouldn’t be lulled into a false sense of security.
“I think we often have this feeling in early August that hurricane season started June 1, but the majority of storms really do come in the next two months,” said Kevin Reed, associate dean. at Stoney Brook. The university’s School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences told DailyMail.com.
“I like to put it in a different context, which is all it takes is one storm making landfall in a particular area for a season to really have an impact.”
Although climate systems are incredibly complex and are affected by many factors, Reed said the impacts of climate change are being felt in the extreme force of storms seen in recent years.
“The global average temperature has increased by more than a degree Celsius, the temperature in the North Atlantic is warmer than it would have been in a world without climate change,” he said.
“Therefore, when the storms do occur, and there will be storms in the coming months, they will have a probability of being stronger, they will dump more precipitation than they would have and these may have real impacts if they hit the ground.”