“Drill, baby, drill” is back in Europe as the gas crisis looms


London
CNN Business

The 16 km long island of Schiermonnikoog is known as one of the most beautiful places in the Netherlands, with the widest beach in Europe, 300 different species of birds and a lively tourist trade.

But after the Dutch and German governments approved the development of a new gas field about 12 miles off the coast of Schiermonnikoog, the island’s mayor worries about his future.

“We are very concerned that gas drilling will damage the area,” Mayor Ineke said. van Gent told CNN Business. “We also believe that it is not necessary to drill [for] new gas and that we should invest much more in renewable energies.

The gas project, which spans German and Dutch North Sea territories, is just one venture that has been given the green light or is being given another look in Europe and the UK. United after Russia invaded Ukraine. Eastern Europe your desperate secure gas supplies that cannot be interrupted at Moscow’s will. Last week EU leaders seven a voluntary goal reduce gas consumption by 15% by March 2023 to escape a crisis once the weather turns.

The lighthouse on the island of Schiermonnikoog, site of the Netherlands' first national park.

A power shortage could push prices even highertriggering a wave of power outages and leaving vulnerable households unable to pay their bills.

Yet scientists, activists and residents of places like Schiermonnikoog are frustrated. They believe governments are using the war in Ukraine as political cover for projects that won’t be implemented in time to help this winter, and which could ultimately make it harder to contain. global warming.

The gas field near Schiermonnikoog is not expected to start supplying gas to Dutch and German households until 2024. Once lit, it could operate for decades, with licenses valid until 2042.

“In principle, we need to get rid of all fossil fuels, and we need to get rid of them very quickly,” said Han Dolman, director of the Royal Netherlands Institute for Marine Research, who opposes the project. “It’s not an immediate solution to anything. [related to] the Russian gas crisis.

ONE-Dyas, the Dutch company managing the development, said it has been in frequent contact with local stakeholders since 2018 and produced an in-depth environmental impact report which was reviewed by regulators. Locally produced gas also has a lower carbon footprint than natural gas imported from other countries, he added.

Europe’s rush to secure gas supplies comes as Russia signals its willingness to punish the bloc for its support of Ukraine. The state-owned Gazprom recently reduced flow rates in the crucial Nord Stream 1 pipeline at 20% of daily capacity.

The situation in Europe is “perilous” and the region must prepare for a “long and harsh winter”, according to Fatih Birol, executive director of the International Energy Agency.

Even if European countries manage to fill their gas reservoirs to 90% capacity, the region still risks facing supply disruptions early next year if Russia decides to cut off gas supplies from October, the IEA said.

Sunrise at the gas receiving station of the Nord Stream 1 Baltic Sea pipeline in Lubmin, Germany.

The risk has prompted countries to find alternative fuel sources and conserve what they can.

It has also empowered politicians to support an expansion of the gas sector with a conviction that would have been unthinkable just a year ago due to climate concerns. Since February, government officials have lifted production caps and approved new drilling sites, often citing the need to be pragmatic during a time of high stress.

Denmark, which in 2020 announced its intention to phase out fossil fuel production, is extraction acceleration North Sea fields that already have licenses. Hungary said it would increase national natural gas production to 2 billion cubic meters from 1.5 billion cubic meters. Shell is in progress with a new natural gas development in the North Sea after the UK government gave the green light in June, reversing a previous decision to block the project on environmental grounds.

“We power renewables and nuclear, but we are also realistic about our current energy needs,” said Kwasi Kwarteng, UK Business and Energy Secretary. tweeted after the decision. Average UK energy bills could top £500 ($613) in January alone, according to a new report from consultancy BFY Group.

Construction work on the lock island of Brunsbuettel in northern Germany in early March.  The port on the North Sea could be the site of a new LNG terminal.

Meanwhile, governments are rushing to increase their capacity to receive liquefied natural gas, or LNG, which is an attractive alternative to gas from Russia because it can be shipped by allies on tankers instead of being delivered by pipelines from Russia. Global Energy Monitor, a US think tank, has at least 25 LNG terminal construction or expansion projects in Europe and the UK that have been newly proposed or revived since the outbreak of war in Ukraine.

“You just see this 180 degree turn around the world,” said Oswald Clint, an analyst at Sanford Bernstein who covers the energy sector.

Some of these gas projects could boost Europe’s energy supply this winter in case Russian President Vladimir Putin stops flows from Russia.

Canadian company Zenith Energy, which said last month that it reactivate a well in northeast Italy which will produce 1,300 cubic meters of gas per day, expects production to begin between October and December.

Luca Benedetto, chief financial officer, said in a statement that the decision was taken “in the context of the growing need for European internal energy security and a very encouraging price climate”.

Others won’t launch for a while. Shell estimates that the Jackdaw gas field in the British North Sea will be commissioned “in the mid-2020s”. A floating terminal for storing and regasifying LNG, recently acquired by Italian gas infrastructure operator Snam and will be installed near the coast of Ravenna, will not begin operations until the second half of 2024.

Tara Connolly, a gas campaigner at Global Witness based in Brussels, said one of her concerns is that the projects will not be needed once they are actually completed.

“Right before Ukraine, there was a real feeling that Europe had enough gas infrastructure, even in the event of a major disruption,” Connolly said. “Now it’s really a different picture.”

In addition, given the timing, renewables could fill the gap instead of natural gas, which has a lower carbon footprint than oil and coal but still contributes to global warming, according to Connolly.

This is an opinion shared by the mayor of Schiermonnikoog. She is also concerned about the protection of a sensitive UNESCO World Heritage Site.

“My main concern is [the] subsidence, which means we also have problems living on the water,” van Gent said.

Not far away, the onshore Groningen gas field, a joint venture between Shell

(RDSA)
and Exxon

(XOM)
which was once one of Europe’s main sources of gas supply liquid because of earthquakes. A 2016 report found that there were 271 seismic events with a magnitude of 1.5 or greater.

A bird stands near a pole of natural gas extraction machinery and piping in the Groningen onshore gas field.

This is less troublesome for the field near Schiermonnikoog, which will be in the open sea. But the ecological impact must also be taken into account, according to Dolman, the scientist who, with 432 other signed a letter oppose the new Dutch development.

“It’s in a nature reserve area, so it doubles in impact,” he said. “You have to be careful in these areas to do anything, let alone start new gas production platforms.”

Carsten Mühlenmeier, president of the German regulatory agency in charge of North Sea permits, said that “the territorial sea is a sensitive area where undisturbed use must be prioritized over mining and private interests”, especially given the need to reduce demand for fossil fuels. Yet he agreed once the Netherlands signed and the political winds turned in Berlin.

A gas field is planned off the island of Schiermonnikoog.  Scientists oppose the development because of the risk it would pose to park ecosystems.

“Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine has proven that securing an energy supply is a challenge, which outweighs certain security measures, especially environmental concerns,” Mühlenmeier told CNN Business.

Greenpeace has sued the British government on its endorsement of Jackdaw, claiming that its environmental assessment of the project was flawed because it did not consider emissions from the combustion of natural gas.

“It is completely irrational for the government to endorse – and heavily subsidize – a project like Jackdaw that does nothing to solve the energy price crisis while contributing to climate change,” said climate activist Lauren MacDonald. “Our dependence on fossil fuels is the root of both crises, but the government continues to try to move forward with new oil and gas projects.”

— Rosanne Roobeek and Anna Cooban contributed reporting.